An Updated Look at New Zealand’s Excess Mortality v Covid Mortality – 2020-2023

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Back in May, we posted an article about NZ’s Excess Mortality and Covid Mortality, with OECD stats current to Week 10 of 2023.

With the OECD stats now current to Week 40 for Excess Mortality, and Week 45 for Covid Mortality in 2023, (and Excess Mortality being in the news via MOAR), it’s time for a re-look.

The numbers have changed slightly since the earlier articles, due to MoH updating the deaths’ Covid status.

Just the Numbers:

2020

Total: -168.8. Weekly Average: -3.25. Peak Week: Week 51, 87.4

2021

Total: 2,111.2. Weekly Average: 40.6. Peak Week: Week 51, 120.4

Total Covid: 26. Weekly Average: 0.5. Peak Week: Week 46, 7.

2022

Total: 5,787.2. Weekly Average: 111.29. Peak Week: Week 30, 238.6

Total Covid: 2,280. Weekly Average: 43.85. Peak Week: Week 29, 236.

2023 – EM to Week 40, Covid to Week 45

Total: 3548.8. Weekly Average: 88.72. Peak Week: Week 1, 184.4

Total Covid: 1,171. Weekly Average: 26.02. Peak Week: Week 5, 146.

Total Excess Mortality Since 2020 as at Week 40 of 2023: 11,278.4 / 12,666,524 doses = 0.89 Excess Deaths per 1,000 doses

Note how the Excess Mortality begins to rise BEFORE the Covid wave, drops with it, then rises again BEFORE the Covid does. How about that big spike in Week 190? What could be causing that to happen?

The Graphs of the Numbers: NZ Excess Mortality

2020

2021
2022

2023
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